Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Why Caucus and the Electability Issue

This and that as I wonder around the morning's cyberspace offerings:

-from Digby's Hullabaloo: dday writes this on why a political party might want to causus rather than have a primary (paraphrase): 2004 primary in Nevada generated enough interest to get 9000 Democrats to vote; 2007 caucus had 115800 Democrats participating. Wow...

-from Kevin Drum at The Washington Monthly on electability:

So this argument appeals to me. Hillary will draw fewer independents than Obama. She'll probably also draw fewer men. And the fever swamp will go absolutely nuts. (Though whether, in the end, that helps or hurts, is hard to say.)

But in the real world, there are lots of other demographic and constituency issues than that. Hillary's strengths are considerable: She'll draw more women than Obama would. She'll draw more Hispanics. Unless things go way off the rails in the next few weeks, she'll draw 90% of the black vote, the same as Obama. She'll appeal more to blue collar workers and union members. She'll draw more of the white vote. She'll appeal more to moderate hawks. She'll be more immune to attacks based on experience.

Senator Clinton is electable. Don't think we have to worry about that. Obama is as well along with Edwards and Dodd (yes, I know, he's dropped out of the race).

Breakfast time...

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